With the start of the new season, the 2020/21 season of the European League has also kicked off. 55 participating teams of all levels are also undergoing the test of the group stage, but which teams are more likely to stand on top of Europe? Algorithm statistics show that France beat Spain and other giants in terms of winning the title, while defending champion Portugal is only ranked 8th:
Previous ranking: 4th in Group A4
Probability of winning: 2.38%
Group opponents: Portugal, France, Sweden
The highlights of reaching the World Cup finals in 2018 seem to be in sight, but as the golden generation ages and fades out, the combat effectiveness of the Grid Corps is no longer the same. In the first UEFA Europa League, they were at the bottom of the A4 group with Spain and England. Although since then successfully defeated Wales in Group E of the European Cup qualifiers to advance to the top of the list, after returning to the UEFA Europa League, Croatia once again faltered, losing by a large score in the face of the European Cup and World Cup defending champions. However, considering that there are still many famous players in the Croatian formation, we still cannot rule out the possibility of it becoming a dark horse.
Previous ranking: 3rd in Group A4
Probability of winning: 3.70%
Group opponents: Italy, Netherlands, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Another team that avoided relegation due to the adjustment of the game system, Poland ranked behind Italy and Portugal in the last UEFA Europa League. And this time they met Italy again and ran into the Netherlands and Bosnia and Herzegovina. After the two rounds of the group stage, Poland defeated Bosnia and Herzegovina but lost to the Netherlands, temporarily ranking third in the group with 3 points. Poland's overall ability is difficult to compete with other strong teams, but having a superstar like Lewandowski gives them confidence. The Polish captain has been very brave in recent years, and Lewand, who won the five crowns with Bayern this year, is bound to hope to make a breakthrough in the national team.
Previous ranking: Champion
Probability of winning: 9.09%
Group opponents: France, Sweden, Croatia
As the defending champions of the European Cup and the UEFA Nations League, Portugal seems a bit too low. In the past few years, Ronaldo finally watched the talent blowout in Portugal. The shining talents of the five shields made the Five Shields look very bright. However, under the grand occasion, we also need to note that Ronaldo is 35 years old and cannot be full attendance. The experience of Felix, Jota, Dias, Silva and Trincon is still lacking, and it remains to be seen how they perform against their rivals. Although currently ranked first in the group, don't forget that they will also fight France in two games.
Previous ranking: runner-up
Probability of winning: 9.52%
Group opponents: Italy, Poland, Bosnia and Herzegovina
After experiencing the pain of missing the World Cup and the European Cup in a row, Koeman led the young Holland to the last UEFA Europa League final, losing only to Portugal at a slight disadvantage. But not long ago, Koeman’s leave without saying goodbye disrupted the planning of the Netherlands. De Boer’s effectiveness after taking office is still unclear. At least the friendly match against Mexico is hardly satisfactory. If the Netherlands wants to force Italy to qualify, the coach has a lot of work to do.
Previous ranking: 3rd in Group A1
Probability of winning: 10.00%
Group opponents: Spain, Ukraine, Switzerland
The German team must be reluctant to look back at the last UEFA Europa League group stage. They were also exempt from final relegation because of the adjustment of the competition system. However, with the rapid growth of young generations such as Gnabry, Werner, Haverts, and Kimmich, Love has the confidence to compete for the European crown. However, being young also means that it is not stable enough. Germany has already suffered two consecutive draws in this UEFA Europa League and only ranked third in the group. But considering the history of this team, we can't underestimate this youth army.
Previous ranking: 2nd in Group A3
Probability of winning: 11.63%
Group opponents: Netherlands, Poland, Bosnia and Herzegovina
The past few years have been somewhat strange to Italy. The pain of missing the World Cup for the first time in 60 years is still lingering, but Mancini has successfully built a younger Azzurri. The last UEFA Europa League group was second only to the final champion Portugal, and the European preliminaries were locked in advance. And now, young talents in the Italian team, including Tonali and Donnarumma, have also matured and are fully capable of making further progress in the future.
Previous ranking: third place
Probability of winning: 14.71%
Group opponents: Belgium, Iceland, Denmark
The English have been chanting the slogan "Football home" for many years, but they have indeed gotten closer to this goal in recent years. The 2018 World Cup in Russia reached the semi-finals. The first UEFA European League defeated Spain and Croatia to advance, but the Three Lions fell in the semi-finals again. The victory of the European preliminaries was monotonous to a bit boring, but the team did not perform well after entering the UEFA Europa League. First, Stirling's stoppage time penalty shot narrowly defeated Iceland, and then ended with Denmark. However, considering that England's current paper strength is the strongest in many years, people still have high hopes for it.
Previous ranking: 2nd in Group A2
Probability of winning: 16.13%
Group opponents: England, Iceland, Denmark
The fact that Belgium failed to make it to the last UEFA Europa League knockout round is somewhat surprising. After all, the "golden generation" was at its peak, ranking first in the world and just won the third place in the World Cup. However, after occupying Switzerland, Belgium quickly recovered its status and continued to return to the top of the world rankings. So far, Belgium's winning streak of Iceland and Denmark temporarily top the group. De Bruyne, Lukaku, and Hazard have all performed well, and if Hazard can recover, it will further strengthen the team's loss. Although they will face the challenge of the Three Lions, the experience of their two victories in the last World Cup will give them a boost of confidence.
Previous ranking: 2nd in Group A4
Probability of winning: 16.13%
Group opponents: Germany, Ukraine, Switzerland
As mentioned earlier, Spain was only second in the group in the last UEFA Europa League, behind England after a chaos. But the Matador Corps did not sink, and Enrique, who entered the palace, re-inspired the team's maximum combat effectiveness. A 4-0 victory over Ukraine and a draw with Germany are currently temporarily ranked first in the group. The midfielder composed of Thiago, Fabian and Merino is their biggest winning weight. The young Ramos is also a big killer on both offense and defense.
Previous ranking: 2nd in Group A1
Probability of winning: 21.28%
Group opponents: Portugal, Sweden, Croatia
Not surprisingly, the defending World Cup champion is still the biggest favorite to win. After all, they have the most luxurious lineup in Europe, with famous players in all positions, and many famous players even have nowhere to serve the country. In the last UEFA Europa League second place in the group, the French team is determined to make a breakthrough. Portugal, the defending champion of the European League in the two group matches, will be their most suitable whetstone.
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